UMECIT vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
54.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
11º
11º
19
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
UME
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UME
1 - 2
AZU
26%
27%
48%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UME
0 - 2
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 4
UME
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
SFF
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
ARA
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
4 - 2
SMI
43%
30%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TAU
2 - 0
AMA
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
AFC
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
COS
0 - 3
AMA
36%
28%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |