UMECIT vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
8º
24
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 1
UME
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
UME
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 2
TAU
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
UME
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
UME
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
IND
3 - 1
SUN
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SFF
3 - 1
IND
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
IND
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |