UMECIT vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
11º
11º
37
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 1
UME
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 1
UME
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UME
4 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 1
UME
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
UME
61%
25%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 6
IND
11%
21%
68%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
SFF
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
4 - 2
AZU
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
IND
27%
28%
46%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |