UMECIT vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
8º
16
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
SFF
28%
29%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
IND
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 1
UME
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
UME
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 2
TAU
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
SUN
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
SFF
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
AZU
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 4
AMA
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |