UMECIT vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
11º
11º
21
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 4
UME
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
SFF
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
AZU
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
UME
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
CHO
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 1
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AMA
6 - 0
CHO
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
IND
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
CHO
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |