UMECIT vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
12º
10º
4
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 25 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
5 | 24 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 23 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 23 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 23 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 22 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 22 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 22 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 19 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 19 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 17 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
2.5% | 8.5% |
|
Next round
|
9.5% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SFF
0 - 2
UME
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
UME
0 - 0
SUN
42%
26%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
IND
2 - 1
UME
57%
24%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 2
UME
54%
26%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AZU
3 - 2
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AZU
0 - 0
CHO
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
SUN
2 - 1
AZU
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 2
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 0
AZU
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |