UMECIT vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
8º
25
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 0
UME
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
UME
3 - 4
IND
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 1
UME
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 1
UME
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UME
4 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 2
AZU
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 0
AZU
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
9 - 0
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 1
UME
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SFF
3 - 1
AZU
33%
28%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |