UMECIT vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
12º
9º
19
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 0
UME
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UME
6 - 0
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
UME
60%
25%
14%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
AFC
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
UME
1 - 3
PCF
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
AZU
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
ARA
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 1
ARA
54%
27%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
COS
0 - 2
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
SMI
33%
31%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |