Umeå vs Varbergs BoIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
IKB
0 - 0
UME
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
OIF
5 - 1
UME
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UME
5 - 1
TRE
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LJU
2 - 0
UME
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
UME
3 - 0
DEG
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
HAL
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
DEG
3 - 1
VAR
52%
23%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
HIF
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FAL
1 - 1
VAR
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 0
LAN
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |