Umeå vs Skellefteå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
UME
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UME
1 - 1
DAL
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UME
4 - 0
IKF
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
UME
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UME
0 - 1
VAS
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Skellefteå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SKE
2 - 3
VAS
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HUD
1 - 0
SKE
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MSK
0 - 4
SKE
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SKE
3 - 1
HUD
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SKE
1 - 1
BOD
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |