Umeå vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
58.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
UME
2 - 2
DEG
34%
27%
38%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
GÖT
4 - 0
UME
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1996 |
UME
1 - 1
OIF
14%
21%
66%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
TRE
3 - 1
UME
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
UME
2 - 0
AIK
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1996 |
MFF
0 - 0
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
TRE
1 - 1
MFF
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1996 |
MFF
1 - 1
HEL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
OIF
1 - 0
MFF
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1996 |
MFF
4 - 1
HAL
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |