Umeå vs Jönköpings Södra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HIF
1 - 0
UME
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
UME
2 - 1
FAL
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
LAN
2 - 1
UME
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
UME
3 - 1
LAN
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 1
UME
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Jönköpings Södra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
LJU
1 - 0
JON
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
JON
2 - 2
DEG
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
HIF
2 - 2
JON
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
JON
1 - 1
HIF
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
FAL
1 - 1
JON
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |