Umeå vs IFK Luleå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
UME
2 - 1
AFC
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
SEL
4 - 1
UME
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
UME
5 - 1
ESK
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
UME
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
UME
0 - 3
DAL
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Luleå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
IFK
0 - 3
SIR
23%
27%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
IFK
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
IFK
3 - 1
VAS
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 5
IFK
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IFK
3 - 2
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |