Umeå vs IF Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GEF
1 - 0
UME
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UME
2 - 1
BKF
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SYL
0 - 1
UME
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UME
1 - 3
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
STO
2 - 1
UME
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KAR
2 - 0
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 2
KAR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KAR
2 - 1
HAN
77%
14%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KAR
1 - 0
THO
89%
8%
3%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GEF
3 - 1
KAR
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |