Umeå vs Hammarby TFF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
11º
10º
40
2º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
VAS
27%
23%
50%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 2
UME
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UME
3 - 5
IFS
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TAB
1 - 1
UME
32%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UME
3 - 2
ASS
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hammarby TFF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HTF
0 - 2
MOT
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STO
1 - 0
HTF
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HTF
4 - 0
BOD
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HTF
0 - 0
ORE
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PIT
1 - 2
HTF
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |