Umeå vs Friska Viljor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
2º
2º
14
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
|
1º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 58 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 46 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
44.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 1
UME
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
PIT
0 - 0
UME
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UME
3 - 1
KAL
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 2
UME
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Friska Viljor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 1
PIT
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FRI
0 - 4
STO
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 2
FRI
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 2
VAS
23%
24%
54%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
FRI
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |