Umeå vs Degerfors IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
HAL
4 - 0
UME
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
DAL
0 - 0
UME
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
UME
1 - 1
IKB
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
IKB
0 - 1
UME
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
UME
1 - 1
NOR
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Degerfors IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
DEG
2 - 1
DAL
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DEG
4 - 2
JON
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
HAL
1 - 4
DEG
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
DEG
0 - 2
HAL
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
AKR
1 - 1
DEG
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |