Umeå vs AFC Eskilstuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DAL
2 - 0
UME
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
UME
3 - 0
IFK
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
UME
28%
23%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UME
1 - 3
IKF
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SIR
2 - 2
UME
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Eskilstuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
AKR
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
BKF
1 - 3
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
4 - 0
HAM
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 1
DAL
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SYR
1 - 3
AFC
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |