Umeå FC Akademi vs Bodens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
11º
9º
60
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 66 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 63 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 48 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 44 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 43 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 17 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 71.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå FC Akademi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
UAK
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
UAK
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UAK
2 - 0
OST
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IFA
3 - 3
UAK
65%
17%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UAK
2 - 3
SKE
6%
14%
80%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Bodens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
BOD
3 - 1
IFA
78%
13%
8%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OST
1 - 2
BOD
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BOD
1 - 3
YIK
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SKE
2 - 2
BOD
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BOD
1 - 0
KFF
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |