UMBC vs Stony Brook analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
BUB
2 - 0
MBC
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MBC
1 - 0
UAY
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
MBC
1 - 2
NJH
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
SBS
0 - 0
MBC
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stony Brook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
SBS
1 - 2
NHW
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
NJH
0 - 2
SBS
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
SBS
0 - 0
MBC
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |