UMBC vs New Hampshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
65.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UAY
1 - 1
MBC
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MBC
2 - 0
BUB
49%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MBC
1 - 3
SBS
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VER
2 - 1
MBC
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UML
2 - 1
MBC
30%
22%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
New Hampshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NHW
1 - 1
VER
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BUB
1 - 4
NHW
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NHW
3 - 0
NJH
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HHH
1 - 4
NHW
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NHW
2 - 0
UAY
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |