UMass Minutemen vs VCU Rams analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMass Minutemen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DUS
0 - 0
UMA
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
UMA
0 - 0
RIR
49%
21%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DSC
2 - 3
UMA
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
UMA
0 - 0
GWS
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DAF
4 - 2
UMA
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
VCU Rams
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VCU
0 - 1
FDU
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GMP
0 - 1
VCU
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VCU
1 - 4
SLB
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
VCU
4 - 1
DUS
61%
19%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LSE
1 - 2
VCU
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |