UMass Lowell vs Vermont analysis


16	ELO	28
-1.7%	Tilt	-1.5%
47108º	General ELO ranking	47101º
744º	Country ELO ranking	737º
ELO win probability

16.4%

UMass Lowell

18.7%

Draw

64.9%

Vermont

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

16.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%

18.7%

Draw

0-0

3.4%

1-1

8.4%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

18.7%

64.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%