UMass Lowell vs Stony Brook analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
46.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMass Lowell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
HHH
0 - 0
UML
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NHW
4 - 1
UML
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
UML
0 - 1
VER
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
VER
1 - 0
UML
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
UML
1 - 2
NHW
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Stony Brook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SBS
2 - 3
NJH
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MBC
2 - 1
SBS
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
SBS
1 - 2
NHW
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
NJH
0 - 2
SBS
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
SBS
0 - 0
MBC
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |