Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-4
UM Escobedo vs CP Villarrobledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 1
NUC
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NUC
5 - 3
ESC
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SEL
0 - 0
ESC
9%
17%
74%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 0
CAY
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 3
ESC
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CP Villarrobledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
LAN
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
UDS
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
PED
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |