UM Escobedo vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 1
ESC
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ESC
2 - 2
GIM
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 0
ESC
24%
23%
54%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
4 - 0
ESC
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ESC
1 - 1
SEL
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAV
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SIE
0 - 1
SAM
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAS
55%
22%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
SFC
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 1
SAM
64%
20%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |