UM Escobedo vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TEX
0 - 3
ESC
20%
22%
59%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ESC
2 - 2
RIB
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GIM
4 - 1
ESC
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ESC
2 - 1
BAR
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SDT
2 - 1
ESC
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAY
2 - 0
CUL
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SEL
0 - 3
CAY
19%
24%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAY
4 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BEZ
3 - 2
CAY
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAY
1 - 1
LAR
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |