UM Escobedo vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CUL
0 - 1
ESC
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ESC
3 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
ESC
23%
24%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ESC
5 - 0
COL
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TEX
1 - 1
ESC
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
NAV
23%
24%
54%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 2
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
CUL
34%
26%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
CAS
33%
24%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |