UM Escobedo vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 0
ESC
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 4
SIE
35%
24%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
ESC
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SEL
2 - 1
ESC
32%
25%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TRO
2 - 1
CAS
69%
19%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
CUL
30%
27%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
TEX
40%
27%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |