UM Escobedo vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BEZ
1 - 1
ESC
30%
26%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TEX
3 - 0
ESC
35%
26%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SIE
4 - 0
ESC
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 2
SEL
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 2
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
SEL
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
RAC
23%
26%
51%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |