FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Ulsan HD FC vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GWA
0 - 1
ULS
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
GWA
0 - 1
ULS
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 2
SUW
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 0
DAE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
JEJ
1 - 0
ULS
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GWA
0 - 1
ULS
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
GWA
0 - 1
ULS
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GAN
3 - 2
GWA
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
JEO
0 - 1
GWA
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GWA
1 - 0
SUW
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |