Ulsan HD FC vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
ULS
1 - 0
SUW
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
CDR
3 - 1
ULS
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ULS
1 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
JEJ
1 - 2
ULS
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SUW
2 - 4
ULS
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GWA
1 - 1
SEO
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
FCS
3 - 2
GWA
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
JEJ
3 - 2
GWA
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GWA
1 - 1
JEO
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
GWA
1 - 0
SUW
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |