Ulsan HD FC vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
1º
45
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 2
ULS
14%
21%
65%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SUW
2 - 3
ULS
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ULS
3 - 2
FCS
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
ULS
1 - 0
GAN
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
DAE
0 - 3
ULS
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
JEJ
4 - 3
DCI
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DCI
0 - 1
DAE
37%
25%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
POH
3 - 2
DCI
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
DCI
2 - 1
SUW
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 0
DCI
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |