FA Cup Final
Global 1-5
Ulsan HD FC vs Daegu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
POH
1 - 3
ULS
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ULS
0 - 1
JEJ
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SUW
3 - 3
ULS
42%
25%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JEO
3 - 1
ULS
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ULS
2 - 1
SUW
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Daegu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GAN
0 - 1
DAE
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CDR
1 - 2
DAE
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
DAE
0 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DAE
1 - 1
FCS
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
CDR
1 - 2
DAE
40%
23%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |