FA Cup Final
Global 2-1
Ulsan HD FC vs Busan I Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
BUS
1 - 2
ULS
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
GAN
1 - 2
ULS
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ULS
1 - 2
JEO
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FCS
3 - 0
ULS
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ULS
0 - 1
JEJ
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
BUS
1 - 2
ULS
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BUS
1 - 1
KOR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
BUS
1 - 1
SUW
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 2
BUS
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SUW
0 - 1
BUS
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |