Ulm vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
ULM
2 - 2
WWO
30%
30%
40%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
HOM
3 - 1
ULM
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ULM
0 - 0
SCF
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
RVO
0 - 1
ULM
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
ULM
0 - 1
SGF
30%
30%
40%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
EIN
4 - 0
WUR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
HOM
5 - 0
WUR
73%
16%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
WUR
3 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
WUR
2 - 2
FRE
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
SAA
2 - 0
WUR
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |