Ulm vs Wolfsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
NUR
1 - 3
ULM
23%
21%
56%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
ULM
1 - 1
NUR
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
ULM
1 - 0
ESV
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1981 |
SVS
1 - 2
ULM
71%
17%
11%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1981 |
ULM
3 - 0
BUR
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
RWL
1 - 2
WOL
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
WOL
0 - 3
STU
13%
16%
72%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
DSC
3 - 1
WOL
59%
18%
23%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1977 |
WOL
3 - 1
FBO
96%
3%
1%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
OSN
4 - 1
WOL
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |