Ulm vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
REU
4 - 1
ULM
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
ULM
3 - 0
HEI
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
LUD
1 - 4
ULM
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
ULM
0 - 5
KSC
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
ULM
12%
18%
70%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
VFR
3 - 2
BAH
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BON
1 - 0
VFR
17%
22%
60%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VFR
1 - 1
FVL
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
VFR
1 - 0
FRE
58%
23%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
REU
3 - 3
VFR
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |