Ulm vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
DIT
2 - 0
ULM
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
ULM
3 - 0
LUD
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
ULM
3 - 0
WEH
79%
14%
8%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
FRA
2 - 3
ULM
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1994 |
ULM
3 - 0
UNT
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
VFR
1 - 1
VES
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1994 |
SGF
3 - 1
VFR
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
SVS
4 - 0
VFR
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
VFR
2 - 3
HES
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1994 |
OFC
2 - 0
VFR
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |