Ulm vs VfR Bürstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
BNE
0 - 1
ULM
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
ULM
1 - 1
EIN
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
EPP
0 - 0
ULM
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
ULM
3 - 1
AUG
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
HES
0 - 0
ULM
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Bürstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
BUR
4 - 1
FRE
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
OFC
6 - 1
BUR
77%
14%
8%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 2
ESV
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
SVS
3 - 1
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
WAL
2 - 0
BUR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |