Ulm vs Weinheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
KSC
4 - 1
ULM
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ULM
4 - 0
LIN
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 4
ULM
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
ULM
1 - 2
HOF
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
4 - 1
AJL
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Weinheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
LUD
4 - 3
WEI
76%
15%
10%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
WEI
1 - 1
FVL
34%
27%
39%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
WEI
2 - 6
KSC
20%
22%
59%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 2
WEI
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
WEI
0 - 1
BAH
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |