Ulm vs Sandhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 1
ULM
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ULM
0 - 4
CRA
81%
13%
7%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
WAL
3 - 0
ULM
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
ULM
2 - 1
FRE
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
BON
2 - 0
ULM
21%
26%
54%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Sandhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
LUD
1 - 0
SVS
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
SVS
1 - 0
WEI
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
KSC
6 - 0
SVS
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
SVS
0 - 2
LIN
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 3
SVS
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |