Ulm vs Stuttgart II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
WMI
0 - 1
ULM
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ULM
7 - 1
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 24 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
ULM
3 - 2
KSC
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
SVS
3 - 0
ULM
15%
22%
63%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ULM
0 - 1
BAH
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
STU
2 - 0
NOT
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
STU
1 - 0
STU
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
FVL
0 - 1
STU
21%
25%
55%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
SDO
1 - 1
STU
16%
23%
62%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
STU
1 - 0
BON
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |