Ulm vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
M05
1 - 1
ULM
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
ULM
1 - 1
GUT
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
ULM
1 - 1
HAN
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1999 |
UNT
2 - 0
ULM
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
ULM
2 - 2
KOL
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1999 |
STP
0 - 2
HAN
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1999 |
UNT
2 - 1
STP
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1999 |
STP
0 - 0
KOL
33%
26%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1999 |
ARB
0 - 0
STP
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
STP
1 - 0
KSC
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |