Ulm vs SpVgg Ludwigsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
KSC
3 - 1
ULM
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
ULM
0 - 1
NOR
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 1
ULM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
SVS
1 - 1
ULM
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
ULM
2 - 1
STU
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
LUD
2 - 1
BAH
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
HEI
6 - 0
LUD
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
BON
1 - 1
LUD
62%
21%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LUD
0 - 4
FVL
54%
25%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
LUD
0 - 1
KSC
21%
23%
57%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |