Ulm vs SpVgg Ludwigsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
WEI
2 - 2
ULM
20%
23%
58%
|
61 | 23 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ULM
3 - 0
KSC
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
LIN
2 - 3
ULM
24%
26%
51%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ULM
1 - 1
BAH
77%
15%
9%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
HOF
0 - 2
ULM
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
FVL
0 - 1
LUD
35%
26%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
WEI
1 - 2
LUD
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
LUD
0 - 2
KSC
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
LIN
4 - 2
LUD
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
LUD
2 - 1
BAH
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |