Ulm vs SpVgg Ludwigsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
STU
0 - 1
ULM
19%
23%
59%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ULM
2 - 2
FVL
86%
11%
4%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SDO
2 - 3
ULM
12%
21%
67%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
ULM
2 - 2
BON
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FRE
0 - 0
ULM
12%
21%
68%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
LUD
1 - 4
STU
23%
24%
52%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
STU
0 - 2
LUD
36%
23%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FVL
2 - 1
LUD
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
LUD
0 - 0
VIL
64%
19%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SDO
3 - 1
LUD
30%
25%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |