Ulm vs SpVgg Au analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
STU
0 - 2
ULM
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 2
ULM
6%
16%
78%
|
67 | 32 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
ULM
0 - 3
FCU
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
ULM
2 - 1
FCN
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
SVS
2 - 4
ULM
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Au
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
AJL
0 - 1
STU
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FVL
4 - 2
AJL
42%
26%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
AJL
0 - 1
SDO
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
AJL
4 - 1
FRE
63%
20%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2002 |
PFO
4 - 3
AJL
63%
20%
18%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |