Ulm vs Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
BON
0 - 2
ULM
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
ULM
2 - 1
FRE
84%
12%
5%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
FCT
2 - 0
ULM
20%
23%
58%
|
66 | 17 | 49 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ULM
3 - 2
PFO
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
ULM
2 - 0
STU
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SDO
1 - 1
STU
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
FVL
1 - 1
SDO
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
LUD
2 - 2
SDO
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
SDO
1 - 1
BON
30%
27%
42%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 0
SDO
69%
20%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |