Ulm vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
MSV
5 - 0
ULM
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
HAN
2 - 0
ULM
67%
19%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
ULM
0 - 0
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
HES
3 - 1
ULM
64%
20%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
ULM
1 - 1
DAR
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
SCF
0 - 2
WAT
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
AAA
1 - 0
SCF
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
SCF
1 - 1
ROT
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
STP
3 - 3
SCF
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
SCF
2 - 1
BWB
64%
21%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |